Market
What will be the legal outcome regarding Denmark's sovereignty over Greenland by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Denmark's sovereignty upheld • 25%
Denmark's sovereignty challenged • 25%
No legal decision made • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Official court rulings or international legal bodies
Story
Trump Threatens High Tariffs on Denmark for Greenland's National Security
Jan 7, 2025, 06:33 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose high tariffs on Denmark if it does not relinquish control of Greenland to the United States. Trump emphasized that Greenland is crucial for U.S. national security and the protection of the free world, citing the presence of Chinese and Russian ships in the region. He questioned whether Denmark has any legal right to Greenland, suggesting that if they do, they should give it up. Trump's comments come amid ongoing tensions over the strategic Arctic island, which he has previously expressed interest in acquiring.
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Bilateral negotiations with US • 25%
Other diplomatic/legal action • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Legal challenge at international court • 25%
Independence declared • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US acquisition agreement • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Case filed in international court • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Bilateral negotiations without court intervention • 25%
Other legal development • 25%
Gains independence • 25%
Remains under Danish control • 25%
Becomes US territory • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland gains more autonomy • 25%
Denmark rejects proposal • 25%
U.S. purchases Greenland • 25%
Greater autonomy • 25%
Closer ties with Denmark • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Independence • 25%
Become part of the United States • 25%
Become a sovereign state • 25%
Remain part of Denmark • 25%
Other • 25%
Becomes independent • 25%
Remains part of Denmark • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Joins the U.S. • 25%
Greenland independence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New cooperation agreement • 25%
Independence approved • 25%
Independence rejected • 25%
Referendum postponed • 25%
Referendum canceled • 25%
U.S. expands military presence • 25%
Denmark rejects U.S. proposal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Greenland sold to U.S. • 25%