Market
What will be the impact of Yoon's martial law bid on South Korea's international relations by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strained relations with allies • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Improved relations with certain countries • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Reports from international news agencies or statements from foreign governments
Story
South Korea's Yoon Suk Yeol Accused of Authorizing Military to Fire at Parliament During Failed Martial Law Bid
Dec 28, 2024, 09:16 AM
South Korean prosecutors have accused former President Yoon Suk Yeol of authorizing the military to fire weapons during his unsuccessful attempt to impose martial law. Reports indicate that Yoon had been planning this move for months and aimed to target political opponents. The prosecutors' findings suggest that Yoon's directive was intended to facilitate the military's entry into the parliament, which he sought to control amid a political crisis. This development follows Yoon's impeachment, raising further questions about his administration's conduct during a tumultuous period in South Korea's political landscape.
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No significant impact • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Strengthens ruling party • 25%
Strengthens opposition • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Increase in Support • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Polarization Increases • 25%
Decrease in Support • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
Support for legal process • 25%
Condemnation of arrest • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
Other leadership changes • 25%
President Yoon steps down • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation • 25%
Mediation Efforts • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
New presidential elections called • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo becomes president • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other Actions • 25%
Condemnations Issued • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Sanctions Imposed • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
Mixed Opinions • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%