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What will be the impact of TikTok sale negotiations on U.S. businesses by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant positive impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Reports from business analysts or major news outlets
Story
Kevin O'Leary Offers $20 Billion Cash to Buy TikTok to Save U.S. Businesses Before Sunday Deadline with Trump's Involvement
Jan 17, 2025, 04:54 PM
Kevin O'Leary, a prominent investor known for his role on 'Shark Tank', has publicly announced his intention to acquire TikTok by offering $20 billion in cash. O'Leary stated that his motivation for purchasing the platform is to 'save' U.S. businesses that rely on it. His bid comes amid ongoing discussions about the app's future in the U.S., particularly in light of potential regulatory actions. O'Leary's offer is contingent on former President Donald Trump's ability to persuade China to agree to the sale. The deadline for this acquisition effort is set for Sunday, heightening the urgency of the situation.
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Not sold • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Sold to US-based company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Operations resumed under ByteDance • 25%
Remains banned • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Ban lifted with no sale or government ownership • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
U.S. government ownership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
TikTok remains operational with no changes • 25%
TikTok divests U.S. operations • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
Sold to Kevin O'Leary • 25%
Sold to another non-Chinese entity • 25%
Not sold and banned • 25%
Other • 25%
Sale to US company • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
No change • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Not sold • 25%
Sold to McCourt and O’Leary • 25%
Sale postponed • 25%
Sold to another party • 25%
Complete sale to a U.S. entity • 25%
Other agreement • 25%
Continued operation under current ownership • 25%
50% U.S. ownership joint venture • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Supreme Court blocks ban • 25%
TikTok sold to US company • 25%
Other • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk's X • 25%
Sold to Elon Musk • 25%
Sold to another U.S. entity • 25%
Other • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Supreme Court delays or overturns the ban • 25%
Not sold, ban overturned • 25%
Banned in the US • 25%
Continues under ByteDance • 25%
Supreme Court upholds ban and TikTok shuts down • 25%
TikTok sold to an approved buyer • 25%
Divestment completed • 25%
Operations banned in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Acquired by another entity • 25%
Acquired by Elon Musk • 25%
Continues operations without change • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%