Market
What will be the geopolitical impact of US AI policy under Trump's administration by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened US position • 25%
Heightened US-China tensions • 25%
Improved global AI collaboration • 25%
Other • 25%
Analyses and reports by geopolitical experts or think tanks
Story
OpenAI's Sam Altman to Collaborate with Trump to Fortify US AI Infrastructure in Race Against China
Dec 5, 2024, 10:31 AM
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman has publicly endorsed President-elect Donald Trump, emphasizing Trump's leadership as vital for America to win the artificial intelligence race against China. Altman is gearing up to collaborate with Trump to fortify America's AI infrastructure, potentially influencing the administration's policies on AI development, including increased investment in critical technology research such as AI and quantum technology. The endorsement marks an unexpected alliance that could have significant implications for the future of technology and geopolitics. Observers note that Trump's commitment to protecting American businesses through measures such as tariffs and trade policies could bolster the domestic AI industry.
View original story
Similar markets
No Significant Change • 25%
Moderate Positive Impact • 25%
Negative Impact • 25%
Significant Positive Impact • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Relaxed export controls • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Stricter export controls • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
New international alliances • 25%
New cybersecurity legislation • 25%
Formation of new cybersecurity task force • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased funding for cybersecurity • 25%
Increased AI surveillance measures • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Decreased AI involvement • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Microsoft • 25%
Google • 25%
OpenAI • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
GAO • 25%
Other • 25%
NIST • 25%
Brookings Institution • 25%
Significant slowdown • 25%
Acceleration due to alternatives • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Unpredictable outcomes • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Tariff decrease • 25%
Tariff increase • 25%