Market
What types of crimes will be pardoned for January 6 participants by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Non-violent crimes only • 25%
Violent crimes including police assault • 25%
Mixed (both violent and non-violent) • 25%
No pardons granted • 25%
Official pardon records from the White House
Story
Trump's Attorney General Nominee Pam Bondi to Advise on January 6 Pardons on Case-by-Case Basis
Jan 15, 2025, 03:38 PM
Pam Bondi, nominated by President Trump as Attorney General, has stated that she will advise on potential pardons for individuals involved in the January 6 riot on a 'case-by-case' basis if asked by the President. During her confirmation hearing, Senator Dick Durbin questioned whether those convicted of violent assaults against police officers should be pardoned. Bondi responded that she would review each case individually if confirmed and asked to do so, while also condemning any violence against law enforcement officers.
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Similar markets
Violent offenses • 25%
Mixed offenses • 25%
Other • 25%
Nonviolent offenses • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
More than 100 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
All pardoned • 25%
Pardons delayed • 25%
Some pardoned • 25%
None pardoned • 25%
101 to 200 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
All re-investigated • 25%
New charges filed • 25%
No further actions • 25%
Some re-investigated • 25%
No action taken • 25%
All proposed pardons granted • 25%
Some proposed pardons granted • 25%
No pardons granted • 25%