Market
What legal actions will be taken against J6 defendants post-pardon by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No further actions • 25%
Some re-investigated • 25%
All re-investigated • 25%
New charges filed • 25%
Court records and Department of Justice announcements
Story
Trump to Pardon J6 Defendants on Day One, Criticizes J6 House Committee
Dec 8, 2024, 02:25 PM
In his first post-election interview with NBC, President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to issue pardons on his first day in office for individuals convicted in connection with the January 6 Capitol attack. He described the treatment of these individuals as 'overly harsh' and suggested that some members of the House committee investigating the event 'should go to jail.'
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No new charges • 25%
Inquiries ongoing • 25%
Inquiries dropped • 25%
New charges filed • 25%
Multiple challenges filed • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Successful challenge • 25%
Unsuccessful challenge • 25%
Few or no participants pardoned • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Some participants pardoned • 25%
Most participants pardoned • 25%
Settlement Reached • 25%
No Legal Action • 25%
Pardons Overturned • 25%
Pardons Upheld • 25%
No pardons granted • 25%
Non-violent crimes only • 25%
Violent crimes including police assault • 25%
Mixed (both violent and non-violent) • 25%
Pardons upheld • 25%
Pardons overturned • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
