Market
Most pardoned offense type by Trump for January 6 by January 21, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Nonviolent offenses • 25%
Violent offenses • 25%
Mixed offenses • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcement from the White House or verified reports from major news outlets
Story
Trump to Pardon Hundreds of January 6 Defendants Within Hours, Sources Say
Jan 20, 2025, 07:15 PM
President Donald Trump is preparing to issue a sweeping series of pardons for individuals charged in the January 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol, according to sources cited by ABC News and CNN. The clemency, expected to be issued within hours, includes pardons for nonviolent offenders and commutations for those convicted of more serious offenses, including violent attacks against law enforcement. The administration has reportedly prepared a list of those who will receive clemency, potentially affecting hundreds of his supporters convicted in connection with the Capitol riot.
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Similar markets
Violent crimes including police assault • 25%
Non-violent crimes only • 25%
Mixed (both violent and non-violent) • 25%
No pardons granted • 25%
Other • 25%
Non-violent offenses • 25%
Property damage • 25%
Assault on police officers • 25%
Other • 25%
Richard Barnett • 25%
Jacob Chansley (QAnon Shaman) • 25%
Adam Johnson • 25%
0-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
More than 150 • 25%
101-150 • 25%
Jacob Chansley • 25%
Other • 25%
Jenna Ryan • 25%
Richard Barnett • 25%
More than 20 • 25%
None • 25%
1 to 10 • 25%
11 to 20 • 25%