Market
Will state-level charges be filed against pardoned January 6 rioters by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
State court records and public announcements from state attorneys general
Story
Trump Pardons 1,500 January 6 Rioters, Commutes Sentences of 14 Including Proud Boys and Oath Keepers Leaders
Jan 21, 2025, 06:00 AM
President Donald Trump, on his first day back in the White House, issued a sweeping pardon for approximately 1,500 individuals involved in the January 6, 2021, riot at the U.S. Capitol. The pardons extend to those convicted of assaulting police officers during the event. Trump described the pardoned individuals as 'hostages' and expressed hope that they would be released immediately. Additionally, he commuted the sentences of 14 others, including leaders of the far-right extremist groups Proud Boys and Oath Keepers, such as Enrique Tarrio and Stewart Rhodes. The move fulfills a campaign promise made by Trump and marks a significant action in his second term as president.
View original story
Similar markets
No pardons granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
All proposed pardons granted • 25%
Some proposed pardons granted • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No further actions • 25%
All re-investigated • 25%
New charges filed • 25%
Some re-investigated • 25%