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What major geopolitical shifts will occur in Eastern Europe by December 31, 2025, following Trump's Ukraine peace plan?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Russian influence • 25%
Strengthened NATO presence • 25%
Neutral stance by Ukraine • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Verified reports from reputable news organizations and official statements from involved countries
Story
Trump's Ukraine Plan: Territorial Concessions, NATO Exclusion, and Demilitarized Zone Proposal
Dec 4, 2024, 09:24 AM
Advisers to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump have outlined a peace plan for the Ukraine conflict that includes significant territorial concessions to Russia and excludes Ukraine's NATO membership. According to sources and reports, the proposals would see Ukraine cede large parts of its territory, including Crimea and regions in Donetsk, Luhansk, and Zaporizhzhia, to Russia. The plan also involves freezing the current front lines, a proposal supported by General Keith Kellogg, and potentially creating a demilitarized zone, as suggested by Vice President Jay D. These measures aim to address Russia's longstanding demand for Ukraine's non-alignment with NATO. The proposals are part of Trump's broader strategy to resolve the conflict and reshape U.S. foreign policy toward the region.
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No decision • 25%
Proposals accepted • 25%
Proposals modified • 25%
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Rejected by Ukraine • 25%
Accepted by Russia and Ukraine • 25%
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No proposal made • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
No change in military aid • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Decreased military aid • 25%
Withdrawal of all military aid • 25%
Push for diplomatic solution • 25%
Increase military support • 25%
Decrease military support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Critical • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Comprehensive peace agreement • 25%
Economic aid package • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Other • 25%
Military de-escalation • 25%
No significant shifts • 25%
Strengthened Russia-North Korea alliance • 25%
Increased tensions with South Korea • 25%
Heightened global military alert • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Non-intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%