Market
What legal challenges will arise from deportations starting January 20, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Multiple lawsuits filed • 25%
Single lawsuit filed • 25%
No lawsuits filed • 25%
Court orders halting operations • 25%
Court filings, reports from legal institutions, major news outlets
Story
Border Czar Tom Homan: Mass Deportations to Begin Nationwide on January 20, Day One of Trump's Presidency
Dec 19, 2024, 02:56 AM
Incoming Border Czar Tom Homan has announced that mass deportations will begin immediately on the first day of President-elect Donald Trump's administration. In an interview with CNN's Kaitlan Collins, Homan stated that on "Day One," January 20, ICE officers across the country will be "out on the streets" to carry out deportation operations. He emphasized that "every field office" will be directed to begin locating, arresting, detaining, and removing individuals. Homan indicated that the initial priority would be addressing public safety and national security threats.
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Similar markets
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
No major legal challenges • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Federal court injunction • 25%
State-level challenges • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
Federal court challenges • 25%
State court challenges • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
6-10 significant legal challenges • 25%
More than 10 significant legal challenges • 25%
1-5 significant legal challenges • 25%
Plan upheld • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Plan blocked • 25%
Plan modified • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Overturned • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Plan upheld • 25%
Plan blocked • 25%
Plan partially blocked • 25%
