Market
What will be the outcome of the first day of deportation operations on January 20, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful operations nationwide • 25%
Partial success with some field offices operational • 25%
Minimal operations conducted • 25%
Operations postponed • 25%
Reports from ICE, Department of Homeland Security, or major news outlets
Story
Border Czar Tom Homan: Mass Deportations to Begin Nationwide on January 20, Day One of Trump's Presidency
Dec 19, 2024, 02:56 AM
Incoming Border Czar Tom Homan has announced that mass deportations will begin immediately on the first day of President-elect Donald Trump's administration. In an interview with CNN's Kaitlan Collins, Homan stated that on "Day One," January 20, ICE officers across the country will be "out on the streets" to carry out deportation operations. He emphasized that "every field office" will be directed to begin locating, arresting, detaining, and removing individuals. Homan indicated that the initial priority would be addressing public safety and national security threats.
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Fully implemented • 25%
Blocked by legal action • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Raids fully prevented • 25%
Raids conducted as planned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Raids partially conducted • 25%
Policy not implemented • 25%
Policy blocked by courts • 25%
Policy fully implemented • 25%
Policy partially implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Operation continues unchanged • 25%
Operation halted • 25%
Operation modified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Moderate increase in deportations • 25%
Decrease in deportations • 25%
Significant increase in deportations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Halted by legal challenges • 25%
Not implemented • 25%