Market
How many significant legal challenges will Trump's deportation plan face by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant legal challenges • 25%
1-5 significant legal challenges • 25%
6-10 significant legal challenges • 25%
More than 10 significant legal challenges • 25%
Court records and news reports on filed lawsuits
Story
Trump to Deploy Military for Mass Deportations, Considers Camps; Plan May Begin in Chicago
Dec 12, 2024, 04:07 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to use the U.S. military to conduct mass deportations of migrants, stating he will employ the military up to the 'maximum' legal extent to round up and deport illegal immigrants. In an interview with Time magazine, Trump indicated he is willing to establish camps to detain migrants before deportation and is prepared to do "whatever it takes" to remove illegal immigrants from the country, adding, "I don't care." He compared illegal immigration to an invasion that must be stopped. Trump asserted that he does not anticipate needing to separate families during deportations, as he intends to send entire families back to their countries of origin. The initiative may begin in Chicago, according to his newly appointed 'border czar'. A recent statistic shows that 59% of Americans support mass deportations.
View original story
Similar markets
No legal challenges • 25%
Plan partially blocked • 25%
Plan blocked • 25%
Plan upheld • 25%
Plan upheld • 25%
Plan blocked • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Plan modified • 25%
No decision by end of 2025 • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Overturned • 25%
Partially upheld • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
No major legal challenges • 25%
State-level challenges • 25%
Federal court injunction • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
No Challenges • 25%
Overturned • 25%
Major Challenges • 25%
Minor Challenges • 25%
Plan fully blocked • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Plan partially blocked • 25%
Plan upheld • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Proposals partially upheld • 25%
Proposals upheld in court • 25%
Proposals struck down • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%