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What will be the legal outcome for January 6 participants by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Most participants pardoned • 25%
Some participants pardoned • 25%
Few or no participants pardoned • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
Official government announcements or legal documents
Story
Biden's Pardon of Hunter Biden Fuels Debate as GOP Senators Support Trump's Plans for Jan. 6 Pardons
Dec 11, 2024, 02:49 PM
President Joe Biden's decision to pardon his son Hunter Biden has met with significant public disapproval, with only about 20% of Americans approving of the move according to an AP-NORC poll. This comes after Biden had previously promised not to issue such a pardon. The action has sparked a debate on presidential pardons, with GOP senators indicating they will not oppose President-elect Donald Trump's plans to pardon participants of the January 6, 2021, Capitol riot. Critics argue that Biden's pardon sets a precedent for Trump to issue similar pardons, potentially affecting the legal consequences for those involved in the Capitol events.
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Convictions upheld • 25%
Convictions overturned • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Cases dismissed • 25%
Sentences upheld • 25%
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Sentences increased • 25%
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Majority upheld • 25%
Majority overturned • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
All overturned • 25%
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No legal action taken • 25%
Legal action but no convictions • 25%
Convictions obtained • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
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Dismissed • 25%
Pardons delayed • 25%
None pardoned • 25%
Some pardoned • 25%
All pardoned • 25%
All convicted • 25%
Some acquitted, some convicted • 25%
All acquitted • 25%
Proceedings still ongoing • 25%
Prosecutions dropped • 25%
Prosecutions with convictions • 25%
Prosecutions initiated • 25%
No prosecutions • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Conviction on all charges • 25%
Conviction on some charges • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Found guilty • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Found not guilty • 25%
Members fined • 25%
No legal action taken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Members jailed • 25%
Settlements reached • 25%
Cases dismissed • 25%
Convictions or penalties • 25%
No legal actions initiated • 25%