Market
US response to Iran-E3 nuclear talks by March 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Support E3 actions • 25%
Oppose E3 actions • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
No official response • 25%
Official statements from the US government or credible news sources
Story
Iran to Discuss 60% Uranium Enrichment With E3 in Geneva Before Trump's Return
Jan 13, 2025, 04:35 AM
Iran is scheduled to engage in nuclear talks with France, Britain, and Germany, known as the E3, in Geneva, Switzerland, on January 13-14, 2025. These discussions, described as consultations rather than negotiations, come just a week before Donald Trump's inauguration as the US President. The talks are the third round in a series, following previous meetings in October and December 2024. The E3 aim to address the progress of Iran's nuclear program, which they consider extremely problematic. Iran has been increasing its stockpile of enriched uranium, reaching levels of 60%, which is close to the 90% required for an atomic bomb. Despite this, Iran maintains that its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes only. The E3 countries have expressed their determination to use all diplomatic tools to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, including the possibility of invoking the snapback mechanism to reimpose UN sanctions if necessary.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Preventive airstrikes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Acceptance • 25%
No response • 25%
Request for more time • 25%
Rejection • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military action • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
New Agreement Reached • 25%
Talks Continue Without Agreement • 25%
Talks Break Down • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military strike • 25%
Preemptive strikes • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Military Strike • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other Approach • 25%
Confrontational • 25%
Collaborative • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed international response • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%