Market
Will Trump's administration finalize its Ukraine conflict strategy by April 2025?
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Donald Trump•Ukraine•Trump•Keith Kellogg•Fox News•Financial Times•Kyiv•Afghanistan•Joe Biden•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements or policy documents from the Trump administration
Story
Trump Extends Ukraine War Resolution to Six Months, Signals Continued Support for Kyiv
Jan 9, 2025, 04:22 PM
Donald Trump, the U.S. president-elect, has revised his timeline for ending the war in Ukraine, moving away from his earlier claim of resolving the conflict within '24 hours' of his inauguration to a more realistic timeframe of 'several months', with a six-month period suggested as a possibility. Trump's special envoy for Ukraine, Keith Kellogg, mentioned to Fox News a goal of stopping the war within 100 days. This shift, reported by the Financial Times, indicates a continued support for Kyiv. Trump's team is reportedly focused on appearing strong, influenced by fears of being compared to the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan under President Joe Biden. Discussions with European officials suggest that Trump's administration has not yet finalized its approach to the conflict, but U.S. support for Ukraine is expected to persist post-inauguration on January 20.
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Diplomatic focus • 25%
Mixed approach • 25%
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Decreased military support • 25%
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Non-intervention • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
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Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease military support • 25%
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