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Status of Myanmar-MNDAA ceasefire by Dec 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
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Escalation of conflict • 25%
Official statements from Myanmar military, MNDAA, and international news reports
Story
Myanmar Military and MNDAA Sign Ceasefire Agreement on January 18, 2025, in Kunming, Mediated by China
Jan 20, 2025, 10:17 AM
The Myanmar military and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA) have signed a formal ceasefire agreement, which came into effect on January 18, 2025. The agreement was facilitated through China's mediation, with the seventh round of peace talks held in Kunming, Yunnan Province. The ceasefire aims to halt fighting near the border between Myanmar and China. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Mao Ning emphasized China's role in promoting peace and its firm opposition to conflict in Myanmar, expressing hopes that all parties would maintain the momentum of the ceasefire and peace talks.
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