Scientific consensus on Covid-19 origins by end of 2025?
Lab leak theory • 25%
Natural emergence • 25%
No consensus reached • 25%
Other theories • 25%
Published scientific consensus statements or major scientific publications
CIA Under John Ratcliffe Favors Lab Leak Theory at Wuhan Institute of Virology for Covid-19 Origins, With Low Confidence
Jan 25, 2025, 06:27 PM
The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) has shifted its stance on the origins of the Covid-19 pandemic, now favoring the lab leak theory over the natural emergence hypothesis. This new assessment, which was initiated under the Biden administration, has been released by the newly appointed CIA Director John Ratcliffe. The agency's analysts have concluded that the virus likely originated from an accidental leak at the Wuhan Institute of Virology in Wuhan, China. This conclusion is based on a reevaluation of existing evidence, particularly focusing on conditions in high-security labs in Wuhan before the outbreak. The CIA's position was made public with 'low confidence', indicating that while the lab leak theory is favored, other theories remain plausible. Ratcliffe has emphasized his intention to thoroughly investigate the origins of Covid-19, stating that understanding the source of the virus is a priority for the agency.
View original story
Inconclusive • 25%
Lab Leak • 25%
Natural Origin • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Lab Leak • 25%
Natural Origins • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Natural Origin • 25%
Lab Leak • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Both Equally Likely • 25%
Inconclusive • 34%
Lab origin • 33%
Natural origin • 33%
Natural spillover • 25%
Other • 25%
Laboratory-related incident • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Lab leak • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Other • 25%
Natural transmission • 25%
Supports natural origin • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
No such study published • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Lab Leak • 25%
Other • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Natural Origins • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Lab leak confirmed • 25%
Natural origin confirmed • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Other Conclusion • 25%
Natural Origin Confirmed • 25%
Lab Leak Confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Natural transmission likely • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Lab leak likely • 25%
Calls for more research • 25%
Confirms lab leak • 25%
No definitive conclusion • 25%
Refutes lab leak • 25%
Other type of evidence • 25%
Conclusive evidence • 25%
Circumstantial evidence • 25%
No additional evidence • 25%