Market
Resolution of 48 Uyghurs' situation in Thailand by December 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Deported to China • 25%
Granted asylum in Thailand • 25%
Resettled in a third country • 25%
Situation unresolved • 25%
Reports from credible news outlets or official statements from the Thai government
Story
Thailand Urged to Stop Deportation of 48 Uyghurs Amid Hunger Strike
Jan 19, 2025, 01:07 PM
A group of 48 Uyghur men, detained in Thailand for over a decade, are at imminent risk of being deported to China, where they face severe risks including enforced disappearance, long-term imprisonment, and torture. The Uyghurs, who have been held in inhumane conditions, have recently gone on a hunger strike to protest their potential deportation. Human Rights Watch has urged Thailand not to deport the Uyghurs, citing the country's obligations under international law to respect the principle of nonrefoulement. The Thai government has been under pressure from China to return the Uyghurs, despite previous instances where similar deportations led to the disappearance of the individuals involved.
View original story
Similar markets
Remain in detention • 25%
Deported to China • 25%
Released in Thailand • 25%
Granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Remain detained • 25%
Deported to China • 25%
Relocated to third country • 25%
Released within Thailand • 25%
No significant response • 25%
International praise • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic pressure increases • 25%
United States • 25%
Canada • 25%
Other • 25%
European countries • 25%
Hunger strike ends without release • 25%
Hunger strike ends with release • 25%
Hunger strike continues • 25%
Hunger strike results in deportation • 25%
Other • 25%
Amnesty International • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Human Rights Watch • 25%