Market
Will Thailand deport the 48 Uyghurs by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Thai government or credible news sources
Story
Thailand Urged Not to Deport 48 Uyghurs on Hunger Strike After 10 Years in Detention
Jan 19, 2025, 04:31 PM
Thailand is facing international pressure not to deport 48 Uyghur men who have been detained in the country for over a decade. The Uyghurs, who fled persecution in China, are at risk of enforced disappearance, long-term imprisonment, and torture if returned. Recent actions by Thai immigration officials, including the distribution of 'voluntary return' forms and photographing the detainees, have heightened fears of imminent deportation. The detainees have initiated a hunger strike to protest their potential forced return to China. Human Rights Watch has urged the Thai government, led by Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra, to release the Uyghurs and allow them safe passage to a third country. The situation has drawn attention from global human rights organizations and U.S. lawmakers, who have called for Thailand to adhere to international law and humanitarian principles.
View original story
Similar markets
Remain detained • 25%
Relocated to third country • 25%
Released within Thailand • 25%
Deported to China • 25%
Situation unresolved • 25%
Resettled in a third country • 25%
Granted asylum in Thailand • 25%
Deported to China • 25%
Ends due to medical intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues beyond March 31, 2025 • 25%
Ends voluntarily • 25%
European countries • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Canada • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Amnesty International • 25%
Human Rights Watch • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%