Market
What will be the outcome for the 48 Uyghurs in Thailand by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Deported to China • 25%
Released in Thailand • 25%
Granted asylum in a third country • 25%
Remain in detention • 25%
Official announcements from the Thai government, host countries, or credible news sources
Story
Thailand Urged Not to Deport 48 Uyghurs on Hunger Strike After 10 Years in Detention
Jan 19, 2025, 04:31 PM
Thailand is facing international pressure not to deport 48 Uyghur men who have been detained in the country for over a decade. The Uyghurs, who fled persecution in China, are at risk of enforced disappearance, long-term imprisonment, and torture if returned. Recent actions by Thai immigration officials, including the distribution of 'voluntary return' forms and photographing the detainees, have heightened fears of imminent deportation. The detainees have initiated a hunger strike to protest their potential forced return to China. Human Rights Watch has urged the Thai government, led by Prime Minister Paetongtarn Shinawatra, to release the Uyghurs and allow them safe passage to a third country. The situation has drawn attention from global human rights organizations and U.S. lawmakers, who have called for Thailand to adhere to international law and humanitarian principles.
View original story
Similar markets
Released within Thailand • 25%
Remain detained • 25%
Deported to China • 25%
Relocated to third country • 25%
Situation unresolved • 25%
Deported to China • 25%
Granted asylum in Thailand • 25%
Resettled in a third country • 25%
Ends due to medical intervention • 25%
Continues beyond March 31, 2025 • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ends voluntarily • 25%
United States • 25%
Canada • 25%
Other • 25%
European countries • 25%
Charged with negligence • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Charged with complicity • 25%
Released without charge • 25%
Plea bargain • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Pending trial • 25%
Deported • 25%