Market
Qatar facilitates another U.S. prisoner exchange by end of 2025?
3
Afghanistan•Taliban•American•Ryan Corbett•William McKenty•Afghan•Khan Mohammad•Jalalabad•California•Qatar•Biden•Donald Trump•Americans
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the governments involved or major news outlets
Story
Taliban Free Americans Corbett and McKenty in Swap for Afghan Khan Mohammad
Jan 21, 2025, 06:18 AM
Afghanistan's Taliban government announced the release of two American citizens, Ryan Corbett and William McKenty, in exchange for an Afghan prisoner, Khan Mohammad. Khan Mohammad was arrested in 2006 near Jalalabad and sentenced to life imprisonment in California on narcotics and terrorism charges. The prisoner exchange was facilitated by Qatar after lengthy negotiations. The deal was finalized by the Biden administration but carried out under President Donald Trump. The families of the Americans have confirmed their release.
View original story
Similar markets
France • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other • 25%
No release of hostages • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Successful release of all hostages • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
Not completed • 25%
Completed as agreed • 25%
Agreement cancelled • 25%
Partially completed • 25%
