Market
Primary Outcome of Israeli-Palestinian Negotiations by End of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Two-State Solution Agreement • 25%
Prolonged Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
No Significant Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official statements from Israeli and Palestinian authorities or international mediators
Story
Pope Francis Urges Immediate Respect for Gaza Ceasefire, Thanks Mediators and Calls for Two-State Solution
Jan 19, 2025, 12:10 PM
Pope Francis has called for the immediate respect of the ceasefire in Gaza, expressing gratitude to the mediators who facilitated the truce. Speaking at the Angelus prayer, the Pope urged all parties involved to adhere to the agreed terms promptly. He emphasized the need for the swift return of hostages to their homes and families, and stressed the urgency of increasing humanitarian aid to the people of Gaza. Pope Francis also advocated for a just solution involving two states, hoping that both Israeli and Palestinian authorities, with international support, can achieve this. He called for dialogue, reconciliation, and peace, praying for these outcomes.
View original story
Similar markets
Deterioration in Relations • 25%
Formal Agreement Reached • 25%
Increased Cooperation • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Hostage Release Achieved • 25%
Both Ceasefire and Hostage Release • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement Reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement on specific issues • 25%
Prisoner Exchange Agreement • 25%
New Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
Neither • 25%
Hostage deal only • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial ceasefire with conditions • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Renewed hostilities • 25%
Renewed conflict • 25%
Formal peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued ceasefire • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Extended ceasefire • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%