Market
Primary Focus of Trump-Putin Ukraine War Discussions by March 31, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Territorial Disputes • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the US or Russian governments or credible news sources
Story
Trump and Putin to Meet to Discuss Ending Ukraine War; Kremlin Confirms Talks
Jan 10, 2025, 09:50 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that a meeting is being arranged between him and Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. Speaking at Mar-a-Lago on Thursday, Trump said, 'He wants to meet, and we're setting it up.' The incoming president expressed a desire to 'end this war' and referred to the conflict as 'a bloody mess.' The Kremlin confirmed that Putin is open to talks with Trump without preconditions. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated that Russia welcomes Trump's readiness to solve problems through dialogue and that preparations for the meeting will begin once Trump officially takes office on January 20.
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Ceasefire • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Other topics • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Agreement to cease hostilities • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Agreement to negotiate further • 25%
Ceasefire terms • 25%
Other topic • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Territorial adjustments • 25%
Peace talks agreed • 25%
No change • 25%
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Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Territorial negotiations • 25%
Meeting occurs without peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs and results in peace agreement • 25%
Meeting occurs but escalates conflict • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
No agreement, talks stalled • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement, further talks planned • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Meeting postponed • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Meeting canceled • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian Assistance • 25%
Diplomatic Solutions • 25%
Military Aid • 25%