Market
Primary Credit for Success of Trump's Middle East Ceasefire by End of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Donald Trump • 25%
Current US Administration • 25%
Middle Eastern Leaders • 25%
International Organizations • 25%
Public statements and media reports
Story
Trump Announces Three-Month Ceasefire Agreement as First Step Toward Middle East Peace, Following Release of Hostages
Jan 19, 2025, 10:38 PM
Donald Trump announced a ceasefire agreement in the Middle East during a pre-inauguration rally in Washington, D.C., describing it as a first step toward lasting peace. He emphasized that this achievement came within three months, contrasting it with President Biden's four-year tenure, stating, "We’ve achieved more without being President than they have achieved in four years with being President." Trump also expressed satisfaction over the release of the first batch of hostages, highlighting the ceasefire as a significant milestone resulting from his recent electoral victory. He reiterated that the agreement could only have been realized due to his historic win in November.
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Similar markets
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
No Progress • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Complete Resolution • 25%
Partial Resolution • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Neither • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Leads to further peace agreements • 25%
Increases tensions • 25%
Partial ceasefire • 25%
No change • 25%
Ceasefire breaks • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Israel • 25%
Palestine • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Military strategy • 25%
Economic aid • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
No decision • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Accepted but not implemented • 25%
Accepted and implemented • 25%