Market
Outcome of Trump's threat to Russia by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia agrees to ceasefire • 25%
US imposes sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the US or Russian governments or credible news sources like BBC, Reuters, or Associated Press
Story
Trump Urges Russia to End Ukraine War, Threatens High Taxes, Tariffs and Sanctions to MAKE A DEAL
Jan 22, 2025, 03:56 PM
President Donald Trump has called on Russia to settle the ongoing war in Ukraine, warning of potential economic repercussions if a resolution is not reached soon. Trump's message to Russian President Vladimir Putin emphasized the urgency of ending the conflict, stating, "We can do it the easy way, or the hard way - and the easy way is always better." He threatened to impose high levels of taxes, tariffs, and sanctions on Russian exports to the US if the war continues. Trump described the conflict as "ridiculous" and warned that it would only worsen without a swift resolution. He urged both parties to "MAKE A DEAL," highlighting the failing Russian economy as a reason for urgency.
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Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
No sanctions imposed • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
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Peace talks initiated • 25%
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Russia agrees to negotiations • 25%
New tariffs imposed • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
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Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Significant economic impact on Russia • 25%
Russia retaliates with countermeasures • 25%
No noticeable impact on Russia • 25%
Limited economic impact on Russia • 25%
Ignore the threats • 25%
Initiate dialogue with the U.S. • 25%
Seek support from allies • 25%
Retaliatory measures • 25%
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Challenge rejected • 25%
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Challenge accepted and conducted • 25%
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Peace deal reached • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
Strengthened diplomatic ties • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%