Market
Outcome of Trump's tariff and sanction threats on Russia by December 31, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Russia•Vladimir Putin•Ukraine•Trump•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Putin•Taxes•Tariffs•Sanctions•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia agrees to negotiations • 25%
New tariffs imposed • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant actions taken • 25%
Official announcements or reports from major news outlets like The New York Times or The Washington Post
Story
Trump Threatens Tariffs and Sanctions if Putin Doesn't End Ukraine War
Jan 22, 2025, 04:32 PM
U.S. President Donald Trump has warned Russia of additional sanctions and tariffs if President Vladimir Putin does not negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine. Speaking on January 21-22, Trump stated that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is ready to make a deal, but suggested that Putin may be unwilling. "I think he's destroying Russia by not making a deal," Trump said, noting that Russia's economy is "failing" and suffering from high inflation. He warned, "If we don’t make a deal soon, I have no other choice but to put high levels of Taxes, Tariffs, and Sanctions on anything being sold by Russia to the United States and various other participating countries." Emphasizing his desire to end the conflict, Trump stated, "Settle now, and stop this ridiculous war! It’s only going to get worse." He added, "We can do it the easy way, or the hard way—the easy way is always better."
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Similar markets
Sanctions imposed but later lifted • 25%
No sanctions imposed • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
Limited economic impact on Russia • 25%
Russia retaliates with countermeasures • 25%
Significant economic impact on Russia • 25%
No noticeable impact on Russia • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Dialogue initiated without sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russia agrees to ceasefire • 25%
US imposes sanctions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintain current sanctions • 25%
Increase sanctions • 25%
Ease sanctions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Not implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Implemented with full effect • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Other • 25%
Ease sanctions • 25%
Expand sanctions • 25%
Maintain current sanctions • 25%
Russia retaliates with counter-sanctions • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased economic pressure on Russia • 25%
Other • 25%