Market
Outcome of TikTok's response to AGU's notice on AI content by June 30, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok enhances AI content moderation • 25%
TikTok faces legal action • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok or AGU, or reputable news sources
Story
AGU Gives TikTok 24 Hours to Remove AI-Generated Fake Video of Haddad on 'Taxation of the Poor'
Jan 21, 2025, 08:23 PM
Brazil's Attorney General's Office (AGU) notified TikTok to remove a manipulated video that simulated Finance Minister Fernando Haddad advocating for 'taxation of the poor'. The video, created using artificial intelligence, falsely attributed statements to Haddad. TikTok complied, removing the video within the 24-hour deadline set by the AGU. The AGU highlighted the misleading nature of the content and its potential to spread misinformation. The video had previously been removed but was reposted by the same user. Media outlets reported on the removal following the AGU's notification.
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Other actions taken • 25%
Increased collaboration with fact-checkers • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Stricter content policies implemented • 25%
Acknowledge some issues • 25%
Deny all allegations • 25%
No official response • 25%
Announce policy changes • 25%
Concerns unresolved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Concerns partially resolved • 25%
Concerns fully resolved • 25%
Calls for further investigation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Support for TikTok's actions • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
No change • 25%
Deal for U.S. ownership • 25%
Ban extension • 25%
Complete ban • 25%
Non-compliance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Divest ownership • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Comply without divestiture • 25%
Seek further legal action • 25%
Divestment from TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Sale to US company • 25%
Partnership with US company • 25%
No change • 25%
Ban is enforced • 25%
Ban is lifted without sale • 25%
Ban is lifted following sale • 25%
Ban is indefinitely postponed • 25%
Security Enhancements • 25%
User Interface Overhaul • 25%
No Changes Announced • 25%
Content Moderation Changes • 25%