Outcome of Sinaloa Cartel's internal conflict by end of 2025?
Resolution through negotiation • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Fragmentation into smaller groups • 25%
Complete dissolution • 25%
Reports from law enforcement and intelligence agencies
Mexican Authorities Detain 'El Chavo Félix' in Quilá, Culiacán, Key Sinaloa Cartel Figure and Son-in-Law of 'El Mayo' Zambada
Jan 19, 2025, 12:53 AM
Juan Carlos Félix Gastélum, known as 'El Chavo Félix,' and identified as the son-in-law of Ismael 'El Mayo' Zambada, was detained on Saturday at 15:58 hours by elements of the National Guard and the Secretariat of National Defense (Sedena) in the town of Quilá, south of Culiacán, Sinaloa. The operation involved both ground and air forces, with military helicopters used in the area. Félix Gastélum, described as a man of approximately 1.88 meters tall, wearing a black polo shirt, blue jeans, and brown boots, is married to Teresa Zambada Ortiz, daughter of the imprisoned drug lord. He is considered a key figure in the Sinaloa Cartel, serving as a trusted lieutenant and security chief under Ismael Zambada Sicairos, also known as 'El Mayito Flaco.' The arrest is part of a broader strategy by the Mexican government to curb violence in the region, which has been escalating due to internal conflicts within the Sinaloa Cartel between factions led by the heirs of 'El Mayo' Zambada and those of Joaquín 'El Chapo' Guzmán, both currently imprisoned in the United States. The capture of Félix Gastélum is seen as a significant blow to the organization, as he was listed as a priority target by the federal government.
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Cartel splits into multiple independent groups • 25%
One faction emerges dominant • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Cartel leadership remains unchanged • 25%
Increased operations • 25%
Significant disruption • 25%
No impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
Moderate reduction in violence • 25%
Increase in violence • 25%
Significant reduction in violence • 25%
No change in violence levels • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Significant joint operations • 25%
Increased intelligence sharing • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
Increase in operations • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
No change • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Continued classification with additional sanctions • 25%
Reversal of classification • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
No disruption • 25%
Moderate disruption • 25%
Significant disruption • 25%
Increase in political assassinations • 25%
Decrease in political assassinations • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
No significant change • 25%
'El Mencho' has highest bounty • 25%
Another trafficker has highest bounty • 25%
Los Chapitos have highest bounty • 25%
Rafael Caro Quintero has highest bounty • 25%
Rescinded by Trump • 25%
Implemented without changes • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Implemented with modifications • 25%
Gulf Cartel • 25%
Sinaloa Cartel • 25%
Other • 25%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel • 25%
Rafael Caro Quintero • 25%
Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, 'El Mencho' • 25%
Other • 25%
Los Chapitos • 25%
El Chapo Guzmán's faction • 25%
No significant change • 25%
El Mayo Zambada's faction • 25%
A new emerging faction • 25%