Outcome of protests over Yoon's arrest by January 31, 2025
Protests lead to Yoon's arrest • 25%
Protests lead to warrant extension • 25%
Protests lead to no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official reports from South Korean authorities or credible media coverage
Court Rejects Yoon's Objection as Arrest Warrant Nears Expiry Amid Protests
Jan 5, 2025, 12:47 PM
South Korean investigators have made multiple attempts to arrest impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol following his suspension after a failed attempt to impose martial law in December. Efforts to detain Yoon have been met with resistance from his presidential security team, which blocked prosecutors during a six-hour standoff at his residence in Seoul. The Anti-Corruption Investigation Office for High-Ranking Officials (CIO) has requested that Acting President Choi Sang-mok order the presidential security service to comply with the arrest warrant. As the warrant's expiration looms on Monday night, thousands of protesters have braved heavy snowfall in Seoul, rallying both for and against Yoon's arrest. On Sunday, a South Korean court dismissed Yoon's objection to the execution of the detention warrant. Investigators have handed over the execution of the warrant to the police and requested an extension of the warrant's execution period in an effort to detain Yoon before it expires.
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Government concession • 25%
Violence or unrest • 25%
Protesters disband without resolution • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Protests intensify • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Protests escalate into larger national movement • 25%
Protests lead to new government policies • 25%
Protests subside with no major change • 25%
Protests lead to President Yoon's resignation • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
Protests continue • 25%
Protests end • 25%
Protests diminish • 25%
Protests escalate • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No convictions • 25%
Major convictions • 25%
Minor convictions • 25%
Pro-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Anti-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests remain evenly matched • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Warrant is revoked • 25%
Yoon remains free pending appeal • 25%
Yoon arrested • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Protests continue without resolution • 25%
Impeachment invalidated • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No intervention • 25%
Other entity intervention • 25%
Police intervention • 25%
Presidential security team intervention • 25%