Market
Outcome of next Ukraine-Russia peace negotiation attempt by March 31, 2025?
3
Ukraine•Kamensky Combine•Russia•Rostov•ATACMS•British Storm Shadow•Russian Ministry of Defense•Storm Shadow•Russian Defense Ministry•Secret Service•Kyiv
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
Official announcements from the negotiating parties or reputable international news agencies
Story
Ukraine Launches December 18 Missile Attack on Rostov Plant, Russia Claims All ATACMS and Three Storm Shadows Intercepted
Dec 20, 2024, 11:04 AM
On December 18, 2024, Ukraine launched a missile strike on the Kamensky Combine, a chemical plant in Russia's Rostov region, using six U.S.-made ATACMS missiles and four British Storm Shadow missiles. According to the Russian Ministry of Defense, all six ATACMS were intercepted, along with three of the four Storm Shadow missiles. However, one Storm Shadow missile reportedly deflected from its target and caused damage to a building on the site. The Russian Defense Ministry stated that it would respond to the attack, which was aimed at a facility known for producing rocket fuel for military use. In retaliation, Russia has since targeted Ukraine's Secret Service control room and other military sites in Kyiv. The situation remains tense as both sides prepare for further military actions.
View original story
Similar markets
Partial agreement • 25%
Escalation in conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire Only • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Full Peace Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Prisoner Exchange • 25%
Other • 25%
Territorial Concessions • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains neutral, no NATO membership • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%