Market
Number of states adopting similar transgender policies by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
More than 20 states • 25%
10 to 20 states • 25%
Fewer than 10 states • 25%
No states • 25%
State legislation records and announcements
Story
Trump to Stop Transgender Lunacy, Recognize Only Two Genders with Executive Orders on First Day
Dec 23, 2024, 04:43 AM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to implement policies on his first day in office aimed at reversing current transgender rights. He stated that under his administration, the official policy of the United States government will recognize only two genders: male and female. Trump emphasized his intention to sign executive orders to 'stop the transgender lunacy,' which includes removing transgender individuals from the military and educational institutions, as well as prohibiting men from participating in women's sports. These declarations reflect a broader Republican agenda against LGBTQ rights, coinciding with their control over both chambers of Congress and the presidency.
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Similar markets
11-20 States • 25%
0-5 States • 25%
6-10 States • 25%
More than 20 States • 25%
11-20 States • 25%
0-5 States • 25%
6-10 States • 25%
More than 20 States • 25%
More than 15 states • 25%
0-5 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
11-15 states • 25%
11-15 states • 25%
More than 15 states • 25%
0-5 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
11-20 states • 25%
31+ states • 25%
21-30 states • 25%
0-10 states • 25%
More than 15 lawsuits • 25%
0-5 lawsuits • 25%
6-10 lawsuits • 25%
11-15 lawsuits • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
0-5 states • 25%
11-15 states • 25%
6-10 states • 25%
16+ states • 25%
11-15 States • 25%
0-5 States • 25%
6-10 States • 25%
More than 15 States • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Majority of states adopt similar policies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Majority of states oppose or challenge • 25%
