Market
Outcome of Israeli-Houthi conflict by end of 2025?
2
Israeli military•Yemen•Israel•Jerusalem•Israeli Air Force•IAF•Israeli•Houthi•Israeli Defense Ministry•Tel Aviv•Zulfiqar•Eilat•Houthis•Gaza
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Houthi victory • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Official announcements from involved parties or credible international news agencies reporting the status of the conflict
Story
Israeli Military Intercepts Houthi 'Zulfiqar' Missile from Yemen, Targets Include Tel Aviv and Eilat
Jan 18, 2025, 01:07 PM
The Israeli military reported intercepting a ballistic missile launched from Yemen targeting central Israel, including Jerusalem, on Saturday. The missile was successfully intercepted by the Israeli Air Force (IAF) before it could enter Israeli airspace. Sirens sounded across central Israel and Jerusalem due to the threat of falling debris from the interception. The Houthi rebels from Yemen claimed responsibility for the attack, stating they targeted the Israeli Defense Ministry in Tel Aviv with a 'Zulfiqar' ballistic missile. They also announced two military operations against Israel, including strikes on Eilat with drones and cruise missiles. The Houthis have vowed to continue their attacks as long as the ceasefire in Gaza is not fully implemented.
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Houthi forces retreat • 25%
Israeli withdrawal • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Escalation to regional conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation to wider conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Escalation of Conflict • 25%
Resolution through Mediation • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Complete military victory for Israel • 25%
Houthi military victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Partial military success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Houthi victory • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Successful dismantling of Houthi threat • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No reported damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Partial destruction • 25%
Complete destruction of infrastructure • 25%
No significant damage • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased Houthi aggression • 25%
Significant Houthi retreat • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No change in Houthi activity • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi attacks • 25%
Increase in Houthi attacks • 25%