Market
Outcome of Houthi-Israel conflict by Jun 30, 2025?
2
Houthi•Yemen•Israel•Ben Gurion Airport•Tel Aviv•Palestine2•Israeli•Sanaa•Houthis•Santa Ursula•Arabian Sea•Yahya Sarea
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Escalation to regional conflict • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Yemen's Houthis Launch Hypersonic Missile and Drone Attacks on Israel, Including Ben Gurion Airport and Ship Santa Ursula
Dec 27, 2024, 08:30 AM
The Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen have claimed responsibility for a series of attacks on Israel, including a ballistic missile strike targeting Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv using a hypersonic missile of the type 'Palestine2'. The missile attack was carried out in retaliation to Israeli strikes on Sanaa's international airport and other targets in Yemen. The Houthis also reported launching drone attacks on Tel Aviv and a ship named Santa Ursula in the Arabian Sea. The Houthi military spokesman, Yahya Sarea, confirmed the successful execution of these operations, stating that the missile reached its target despite Israeli efforts to censor the information. The attacks come amidst heightened tensions following Israeli military actions in Yemen, which have included strikes on airports, ports, and power stations.
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Resolution through Mediation • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Escalation of Conflict • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Escalation to wider conflict • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Israeli withdrawal • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Houthi forces retreat • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Houthi victory • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Houthi victory • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No reported damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Houthi military victory • 25%
Partial military success • 25%
Complete military victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete destruction of infrastructure • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
No significant damage • 25%
Partial destruction • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Houthis significantly weakened • 25%
Conflict stalemates • 25%
Houthis retaliate successfully • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%