Market
Outcome of international diplomacy on Gaza hospital attacks by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
Formal condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from international diplomatic bodies and major news outlets
Story
UN: Israeli Strikes Turn Gaza Hospitals into "Death Traps"; 136 Attacks Documented
Dec 31, 2024, 01:50 PM
The United Nations Human Rights Office has reported that Israeli attacks on hospitals and medical facilities in Gaza have devastated the enclave's healthcare system, pushing it to the brink of total collapse. The report, released on Tuesday, condemned the 136 documented strikes between October 7, 2023, and June 30, 2024, which have transformed hospitals into "death traps" and resulted in the deaths of patients, medical staff, and civilians. At least 27 of Gaza's 38 hospitals and 12 other medical facilities were hit during this period. The UN described Israel's allegations that Palestinian armed groups are using hospitals for military purposes as "vague and contradictory," emphasizing that such attacks disregard international humanitarian and human rights law.
View original story
Similar markets
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Formal condemnation • 25%
Ongoing deliberations • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
No investigation • 25%
Other • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Permanent ceasefire • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Humanitarian aid to Gaza • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Condemnation and Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Efforts for Ceasefire • 25%
Humanitarian Aid Increase • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
International condemnation • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Legal action against Israel • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Renewed negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire in effect • 25%
Formal UN condemnation • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased aid to Palestine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%