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Outcome of impeachment proceedings against Trump in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeachment passed by House, not convicted by Senate • 25%
Impeachment passed by House and convicted by Senate • 25%
Impeachment not passed by House • 25%
No impeachment proceedings initiated • 25%
Official US Congress records and vote outcomes
Story
Special Counsel: Trump Engaged in 'Unprecedented Criminal Effort' to Overturn 2020 Election
Jan 14, 2025, 07:47 AM
The US Justice Department has released Special Counsel Jack Smith's final report alleging that President-elect Donald Trump illegally conspired to overturn the 2020 election. The report details how Trump engaged in an "unprecedented criminal effort" to overturn his 2020 election defeat, including his actions on January 6. Smith states that Trump would have been convicted for his alleged efforts if he had not been elected four years later. According to Smith, "the Office assessed that the admissible evidence was sufficient to obtain and sustain a conviction at trial," but Trump's victory in the November election made prosecution impossible.
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Resigns before impeachment • 25%
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