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Will impeachment proceedings against President Biden continue by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official congressional records or announcements
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Former FBI Informant Alexander Smirnov Pleads Guilty to Four Felony Charges, Facing 48 to 72 Months for Lying About Biden Bribery Scheme
Dec 16, 2024, 08:19 PM
Alexander Smirnov, a former FBI informant, pleaded guilty on December 16 to lying about a fabricated bribery scheme involving President Joe Biden and his son, Hunter Biden. This scheme was central to the Republican impeachment inquiry against President Biden. Smirnov's guilty plea includes four felony charges related to falsifying statements to federal authorities, as well as unrelated tax evasion charges stemming from accusations of concealing millions of dollars in income. The false claims made by Smirnov were initially reported in June 2020 and were leveraged by Republican lawmakers in their attempts to impeach the president. The plea was entered in Los Angeles, with Smirnov facing a potential sentence of 48 to 72 months in prison. His allegations had significant political implications, contributing to the narrative surrounding Biden's interactions with a Ukrainian energy company.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Inquiry closed with no action • 25%
Other • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment • 25%
Inquiry leads to censure • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Censure • 25%
Formal impeachment proceedings initiated • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Censure • 25%
No charges • 25%
Impeachment • 25%
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Formal impeachment charges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Censure • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Impeachment not passed by House • 25%
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No impeachment proceedings initiated • 25%
Impeachment passed by House, not convicted by Senate • 25%