Market
Outcome of FBI investigation into Payette IED incident by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Terrorism-related charges • 25%
No further charges • 25%
Charges against additional individuals • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from the FBI or other law enforcement agencies
Story
Brent Sharrai Arrested for Attempting to Ignite IED Near Railroad Car in Payette, Idaho, FBI Investigates
Jan 3, 2025, 12:33 AM
Brent Sharrai, a 40-year-old man from Payette, Idaho, was arrested after attempting to ignite an Improvised Explosive Device (IED) near a parked railroad car. The incident occurred on Wednesday around 5:54 p.m. when Payette police responded to reports of a suspicious individual near the 600 Block of North 8th Street. Upon arrival, officers discovered fresh footprints leading to a train car where they found a suspected undetonated IED. Sharrai fled the scene but was later apprehended in a nearby camping trailer. He faces charges including possession of a destructive device, possession of a controlled substance, possession of paraphernalia, and resisting and obstructing officers. The Nampa Bomb Squad was called to the scene, using their specialized robot to safely remove and detonate the device. Union Pacific was notified, and train services were halted for approximately five hours. An FBI agent responded to assist in the investigation, which included executing a search warrant on the camping trailer where controlled substances and paraphernalia were found. Federal charges for possessing and manufacturing a destructive device are pending.
View original story
Similar markets
Solely domestic actors identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
International terrorist group involvement • 25%
No suspects apprehended • 25%
Partial apprehension of suspects • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
All suspects apprehended and charged • 25%
No further findings • 25%
Recommendations for further action • 25%
FBI found compliant • 25%
FBI found negligent • 25%
Convictions • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Case dropped • 25%
Plea deals • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Terrorism not confirmed • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Terrorism confirmed • 25%
Non-functional • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Partially functional • 25%
Fully functional • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Further indictments • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Convictions secured • 25%
Formal action taken against FBI • 25%
FBI criticized with recommendations • 25%
FBI exonerated • 25%
FBI criticized but no action • 25%
Personnel changes recommended • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No major issues found • 25%
Procedural errors identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Identified international source • 25%
Identified domestic source • 25%
Source remains unidentified • 25%