Market
Outcome of Diplomatic Efforts on Zaporizhzhia Safety by Jun 30, 2025?
2
Ukraine•Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant•Europe•Russian Ministry of Defense•Energodar•Russian•International Atomic Energy Agency•IAEA
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased international oversight • 25%
Bilateral agreement between Russia and Ukraine • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Statements from international diplomatic bodies like the UN or IAEA, or agreements reached between involved parties
Story
Ukraine's Drone Attack on Europe's Largest Nuclear Plant Thwarted, No Casualties or Damage
Jan 6, 2025, 09:07 AM
On January 5, 2025, Ukraine attempted to attack the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, the largest in Europe, using drones. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that eight attack drones were launched at the facility and the nearby city of Energodar, but all were successfully intercepted and shot down by Russian defense systems. No casualties or damage were reported following the attempted attack. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed hearing loud explosions near the plant, coinciding with reports of a drone attack on the plant's training center. The IAEA noted that these incidents pose another threat to the nuclear safety of the facility.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Formal Agreement • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Informal Understanding • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Significant Progress • 25%
No Talks • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased US support for Ukraine • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased support for Ukraine • 25%
Sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
New sanctions • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
NATO • 25%
European Union • 25%