Market
North Korean POWs Opt to Stay in Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from Ukrainian authorities or major international news outlets
Story
Zelensky Proposes Swap of North Korean POWs Captured in Kursk for Ukrainians Held by Russia
Jan 12, 2025, 07:30 PM
On Sunday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Ukraine is ready to hand over captured North Korean soldiers to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in exchange for Ukrainian soldiers held captive in Russia. Zelensky shared footage of the first interrogation of the North Korean soldiers, who were captured by Ukrainian forces during combat operations in Russia's Kursk region. He stated that for those North Korean soldiers who do not wish to return, alternative arrangements can be made. This proposal highlights the involvement of North Korean troops fighting alongside Russian forces in the conflict.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Retained in Ukraine • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Exchanged for Ukrainian soldiers • 25%
Remain in Ukraine • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Returned to North Korea without exchange • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Retain custody • 25%
Other • 25%
Transfer to South Korea • 25%
Return to North Korea • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority captured • 25%
Majority remain • 25%
Majority withdrawn • 25%
Majority casualties • 25%
Other • 25%
Tried in Ukraine • 25%
Retained as POWs • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
Held as prisoners of war • 25%
Other • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%