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What will be the fate of the captured North Korean soldiers in Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
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South Korea•National Intelligence Service•NIS•North Korean•Ukraine•South Korean•Russian•Kim Jong Un•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Kyiv
Resolution / Starting Odds
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Retained in Ukraine • 25%
Transferred to a third country • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
Official statements by Ukraine or international news agencies
Story
South Korea: Over 300 North Korean Soldiers Killed in Ukraine, Troops Told to Commit Suicide if Captured
Jan 13, 2025, 05:11 AM
South Korea's National Intelligence Service (NIS) reported that North Korean troop fatalities and injuries in Ukraine have likely exceeded 3,000, including approximately 300 deaths and 2,700 injuries. According to South Korean lawmakers briefed by the spy agency, North Korean soldiers fighting alongside Russian forces have been instructed by their authorities to kill themselves rather than be captured. In one instance, a North Korean soldier attempted to self-detonate a grenade while shouting 'General Kim Jong Un' but was shot dead by Ukrainian forces. Additionally, over the weekend, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky announced that Kyiv had captured two injured North Korean soldiers, releasing video footage of the combatants.
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Similar markets
Returned to North Korea without exchange • 25%
Exchanged for Ukrainian soldiers • 25%
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Other • 25%
Returned to North Korea • 25%
Retained as POWs • 25%
Tried in Ukraine • 25%
Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
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Majority withdrawn • 25%
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Granted asylum in Ukraine • 25%
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Soldiers remain detained in Ukraine • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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Retain custody • 25%
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