Market
Next major drug-related policy change in Mexico by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military operations against cartels • 25%
Stricter border controls • 25%
New drug decriminalization laws • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the Mexican government or reputable news outlets
Story
Mexico Seizes 1,000 kg Fentanyl in Sinaloa, Biden Praises Sheinbaum
Dec 7, 2024, 04:39 PM
Mexican authorities have made the largest fentanyl seizure in the country's history, confiscating over a ton (1,000 kg) of the drug in Sinaloa, equivalent to 20 million doses valued at $394 million. The operation, led by the Mexican Navy, resulted in two arrests amid escalating violence in the cartel-dominated region, with over 50 murders reported. President Joe Biden commended President Claudia Sheinbaum for her leadership in this significant drug bust, highlighting the collaborative efforts between the U.S. and Mexico to combat the opioid crisis. Biden noted that the seized fentanyl could have been enough to kill 15% of all Americans, emphasizing the impact of this seizure on reducing overdose deaths in the U.S. by 14%, the largest reduction to date.
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Increased military operations • 25%
Enhanced international cooperation • 25%
Stricter border controls • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Chihuahua • 25%
Jalisco • 25%
Sinaloa • 25%
Cocaine • 25%
Other • 25%
Fentanyl • 25%
Methamphetamine • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No change in cooperation • 25%
Increased cooperation • 25%
Military • 25%
Joint Operation • 25%
Federal Police • 25%
Local Police • 25%
Full cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Partial cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
No cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Opposition to U.S. initiatives • 25%
Other • 25%
No action • 25%
Increase law enforcement • 25%
Launch investigation • 25%
Enhanced cooperation with U.S. • 25%
Increased domestic drug enforcement • 25%
Stricter border enforcement • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Rejection of US Actions • 25%
Cooperation with US • 25%
Request for International Mediation • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Changes in immigration policy • 25%
Increase in border security • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased penalties for violence against agents • 25%