Market
Mexican Government Response to US Anti-Cartel Actions by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Cooperation with US • 25%
Rejection of US Actions • 25%
Request for International Mediation • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Official statements or policy decisions from the Mexican government
Story
Trump Considers 'Soft Invasion' of Mexico to Combat Cartels, Sparks Debate
Dec 24, 2024, 01:06 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly considering a military intervention in Mexico, described as a 'soft invasion,' aimed at combating Mexican drug cartels. Discussions within Trump's transition team include the possibility of covert operations to assassinate cartel leaders, according to reports from Rolling Stone. The proposal has sparked debate in Mexico, with some advocating for international cooperation to address the violence, while others, including Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, emphasize Mexico's sovereignty and reject any form of subordination to the U.S. Trump's plan to designate Mexican cartels as terrorist organizations has further divided opinions in Mexico, with opposition parties urging for collaborative efforts, and the government asserting its independence.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Strong opposition and diplomatic protest • 25%
Full cooperation • 25%
Conditional cooperation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other • 25%
No official response • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Increased cooperation with the U.S. • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Enhanced international cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
Stricter border controls • 25%
Increased military operations • 25%
Stricter border enforcement • 25%
Enhanced cooperation with U.S. • 25%
Increased domestic drug enforcement • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Positive Engagement • 25%
Neutral Stance • 25%
Negative Response • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Increase law enforcement • 25%
Other • 25%
Launch investigation • 25%
No action • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Agreement on joint action • 25%
Disagreement and tension • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Other • 25%
Support • 25%
No cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Opposition to U.S. initiatives • 25%
Partial cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%
Full cooperation with U.S. initiatives • 25%