Market
Leading US Agency Against Mexican Cartels by End of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Department of Defense • 25%
CIA • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Official US government announcements or leadership appointments
Story
Trump Considers 'Soft Invasion' of Mexico to Combat Cartels, Sparks Debate
Dec 24, 2024, 01:06 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is reportedly considering a military intervention in Mexico, described as a 'soft invasion,' aimed at combating Mexican drug cartels. Discussions within Trump's transition team include the possibility of covert operations to assassinate cartel leaders, according to reports from Rolling Stone. The proposal has sparked debate in Mexico, with some advocating for international cooperation to address the violence, while others, including Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, emphasize Mexico's sovereignty and reject any form of subordination to the U.S. Trump's plan to designate Mexican cartels as terrorist organizations has further divided opinions in Mexico, with opposition parties urging for collaborative efforts, and the government asserting its independence.
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Similar markets
Increased cooperation • 25%
Decreased cooperation • 25%
Unchanged cooperation • 25%
Deterioration of relations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Jalisco New Generation Cartel • 25%
Gulf Cartel • 25%
Sinaloa Cartel • 25%
Other • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Diplomatic cooperation with Mexico • 25%
Designation as terrorist organizations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military action • 25%
Significant joint operations • 25%
Increased intelligence sharing • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
New bilateral agreements • 25%
