Market
Main diplomatic outcome of Israel-Houthi tensions by December 31, 2025?
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Israel•United Nations•Danny Danon•Yemen•Iran•Houthis•UN Security Council•Danon•Hamas•Hezbollah•Dorothy Shea•Houthi attacks•UNSC•Israeli•Middle East
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Continued military skirmishes • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Official diplomatic announcements or agreements reported by international news agencies
Story
Israel Issues Final Warning to Yemen's Houthis at UNSC, Citing Iran's Support
Dec 30, 2024, 05:44 PM
Israel's Ambassador to the United Nations, Danny Danon, issued a 'final warning' to Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis during a UN Security Council meeting on Monday. Danon cautioned that the Houthis would face the same 'miserable fate' as Hamas, Hezbollah, and the regime of Bashar al-Assad if they continued their missile attacks on Israel. He emphasized that this was not a threat but a promise. The U.S. Ambassador Dorothy Shea also addressed the council, attributing the Houthi attacks to Iran's support, stating that the Houthis are fully enabled by Iran to launch long-range and deadly attacks on Israel, in violation of a UNSC arms embargo. The Israeli envoy further warned Iran directly, asserting Israel's readiness for all scenarios and its capability to target any location in the Middle East, including inside Iran, despite the 2,000 km distance between Israel and Yemen.
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Increased military conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Humanitarian aid agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased military action • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation to wider conflict • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Israeli withdrawal • 25%
Houthi forces retreat • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No change in Houthi activity • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi attacks • 25%
Increase in Houthi attacks • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations with no agreement • 25%
Successful ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate with no progress • 25%
Decisive Israeli victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Houthi resistance strengthens • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful dismantling of Houthi threat • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Complete military victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Houthi military victory • 25%
Partial military success • 25%