Market
Lead mediator in U.S.-Iran relations post-January 2024 drone strike by end of 2025
2
Jordan•American•Mahdi Mohammad Sadeghi•Mohammad Abedini•Iranian•Iran•Syrian•FBI•FBI Boston•Justice Department
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
Official diplomatic announcements or credible news sources
Story
Two Charged in January 2024 Drone Strike That Killed Three U.S. Service Members and Injured 40+ in Jordan
Dec 17, 2024, 03:15 AM
U.S. prosecutors have charged two men in connection with a January drone strike in Jordan that killed three American service members and injured approximately 40 others. The individuals charged are Mahdi Mohammad Sadeghi, a dual U.S.-Iranian citizen, and Mohammad Abedini, an Iranian national. They are accused of exporting sensitive technology to Iran, which was allegedly used by Iran-backed militants in the drone attack. The strike occurred near the Syrian border and has raised national security concerns, prompting the FBI to conduct an investigation. The arrests were announced during a news conference held by FBI Boston at 5:15 PM on December 16, 2024. The Justice Department has indicated that these charges are part of broader efforts to counter threats posed by Iran and its affiliated groups.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
European Union • 25%
China • 25%
France • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Russia • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
No Change in Relations • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
European Union • 25%
US and Iran directly • 25%
US, Iran, and Russia • 25%
Multilateral talks (including China) • 25%
US, Iran, and EU • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Improvement • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
Arab League • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Agreement Reached • 25%
Talks Postponed • 25%
Talks Canceled • 25%