Market
U.S.-Iran diplomatic actions post-assassination plot claims by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No Change in Relations • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Official government announcements or diplomatic communiques
Story
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian Denies Assassination Plot Against Trump, Rejects U.S. Justice Department Claims
Jan 15, 2025, 01:02 AM
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has denied allegations that Iran plotted to assassinate Donald Trump during the U.S. election campaign last year. In an exclusive interview with NBC News' Lester Holt in Tehran, Pezeshkian stated that Iran 'never' planned to kill Trump and will not do so in the future. He dismissed the claims as part of a scheme by Israel and other countries to promote 'Iranophobia.' The U.S. Justice Department had charged an Iranian national in November with an alleged plot to assassinate Trump, which Pezeshkian refuted, asserting that Iran has never attempted nor plans to assassinate anyone.
View original story
Similar markets
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Iran found not guilty • 25%
Iran found guilty • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Formal Denial • 25%
Legal Action • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic Action • 25%
Other • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improvement • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severed diplomatic ties • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Successful hostage release • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Talks Canceled • 25%
Talks Postponed • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Agreement Reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both Simultaneously • 25%
Iran • 25%