Market
Mohammad Abedini extradited to U.S. by mid-2025?
3
Jordan•American•Mahdi Mohammad Sadeghi•Mohammad Abedini•Iranian•Iran•Syrian•FBI•FBI Boston•Justice Department
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from U.S. or Iranian government or relevant legal documents
Story
Two Charged in January 2024 Drone Strike That Killed Three U.S. Service Members and Injured 40+ in Jordan
Dec 17, 2024, 03:15 AM
U.S. prosecutors have charged two men in connection with a January drone strike in Jordan that killed three American service members and injured approximately 40 others. The individuals charged are Mahdi Mohammad Sadeghi, a dual U.S.-Iranian citizen, and Mohammad Abedini, an Iranian national. They are accused of exporting sensitive technology to Iran, which was allegedly used by Iran-backed militants in the drone attack. The strike occurred near the Syrian border and has raised national security concerns, prompting the FBI to conduct an investigation. The arrests were announced during a news conference held by FBI Boston at 5:15 PM on December 16, 2024. The Justice Department has indicated that these charges are part of broader efforts to counter threats posed by Iran and its affiliated groups.
View original story
Similar markets
Released without extradition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Extradited to the US • 25%
Not extradited • 25%
Extradition denied • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Extradition approved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
US continues pursuit without new charges • 25%
US drops charges • 25%
Charges filed in another country • 25%