Market
Impact on Canadian GDP growth rate from U.S. tariffs by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase • 25%
Decrease by less than 1% • 25%
Decrease by 1-2% • 25%
Decrease by more than 2% • 25%
Statistics Canada official reports or economic analysis publications
Story
At Mar-a-Lago, Trump Jokes Canada Should Become 51st State, Trudeau Its Governor, Over $100 Billion Tariff Dispute
Dec 3, 2024, 12:37 AM
During a recent dinner meeting at Mar-a-Lago, U.S. President Donald Trump reportedly told Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau that if Canada cannot survive without 'ripping off' the United States to the tune of $100 billion to $150 billion a year, then perhaps it should become the 51st state, with Trudeau serving as its governor. The remark came after Trudeau expressed concerns that new U.S. tariffs, potentially as high as 25%, would harm the Canadian economy. Fox News reported the exchange, citing sources present at the meeting.
View original story
Similar markets
GDP growth despite tariffs • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Moderate GDP decline • 25%
Significant GDP decline • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Moderate decline • 25%
Stable • 25%
Significant decline • 25%
Improved • 25%
Moderate downturn • 25%
Other • 25%
Severe recession • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
Exports decrease by <5% • 25%
Exports decrease by >10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Exports decrease by 5-10% • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Moderate negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Tariffs fully implemented • 25%
Tariffs removed after implementation • 25%
Tariffs not implemented • 25%
Tariffs partially implemented • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Increase • 25%
Tariffs delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs averted through negotiation • 25%
No change in exports • 25%
Increase in exports • 25%
Decrease in exports • 25%
Data unclear or mixed • 25%