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How will the Syrian regime's military strategy change due to Ukrainian drone involvement by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased air strikes • 25%
Increased ground operations • 25%
Diplomatic efforts • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis from defense analysts and military reports
Story
Ukraine Sends 20 Operators, 150 Drones to Aid HTS in Syria
Dec 11, 2024, 03:50 AM
Ukrainian intelligence has reportedly sent 20 experienced drone operators and approximately 150 first-person-view (FPV) drones to Idlib, Syria, about four to five weeks ago to assist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a leading rebel group, in its offensive against the Syrian regime. According to the Washington Post, these drones played a 'modest' role in the fall of Syrian dictator Assad. The move is seen as part of a coordinated effort to support the Syrian opposition, with the tactics and technology used by HTS resembling those employed by Ukraine in its conflict.
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No significant change • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Other strategic changes • 25%
Increased offensives • 25%
Withdrawal from key areas • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Engagement in negotiations • 25%
No change in military presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Increase in military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Decrease in military presence • 25%
Cyber attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Shift to defensive operations • 25%
Continued mass infantry assaults • 25%
Withdrawal from active combat • 25%
Increased air support • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased military presence • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Change in strategic focus • 25%
Reduction in foreign bases • 25%
More foreign bases allowed • 25%
Complete expulsion of foreign bases • 25%
Existing bases maintained • 25%
Significant impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
Reinforcement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Enhanced Russian air defenses • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased Russian airstrikes • 25%