Market
How will the shooter in the Brian Thompson case be identified by June 30, 2025?
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Brian Thompson•UnitedHealthcare•UnitedHealth Group•Manhattan•Hilton Hotel•Midtown•PIX11•New York Post•Thompson•6th Avenue
Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified as a professional hitman • 25%
Identified as a personal acquaintance • 25%
Identified as a random act of violence • 25%
Not identified • 25%
Official police announcements or credible news sources
Story
UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson Fatally Shot Outside Midtown Hilton; Police Call It Targeted Attack
Dec 4, 2024, 01:55 PM
Brian Thompson, CEO of UnitedHealthcare—a division of UnitedHealth Group—was reportedly fatally shot in Manhattan outside the Hilton Hotel in Midtown, according to multiple sources including PIX11 and the New York Post. The incident took place around 6:46 a.m. when a masked gunman shot Thompson in the chest and fled eastbound on 6th Avenue on foot. Police are treating the attack as a targeted hit. UnitedHealth Group shares fell 2.7% in premarket trading following the news. Thompson was scheduled to speak at an investor meeting at the hotel later that day.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Identified as an employee of UnitedHealthcare • 25%
Identity remains unknown • 25%
Identified as a relative or acquaintance of Brian Thompson • 25%
Identified as a known criminal with no ties to UnitedHealthcare • 25%
Other • 25%
Witness Testimony • 25%
Forensic Evidence • 25%
Surveillance Footage • 25%
Business rival • 25%
Personal acquaintance • 25%
Unknown connection • 25%
Former employee • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal Acquaintance • 25%
Random Act • 25%
Business Rival • 25%
Other • 25%
Public Tip • 25%
Forensic Evidence • 25%
Facial Recognition • 25%
New York City • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Another US State • 25%
Outside the US • 25%
Current 26-year-old suspect • 25%
No suspect identified • 25%
Multiple individuals • 25%
Another individual • 25%